Scientist – Hydrological forecast evaluation
1. Position information
Vacancy No.: VN17-09
2. About ECMWF *ECMWF is both a research institute and a 24/7 operational service, producing and disseminating numerical weather predictions to its Member States. This data is fully available to the national meteorological services in the Member States. The Centre also offers a catalogue of forecast data that can be purchased by businesses worldwide and other commercial customers. The supercomputer facility (and associated data archive) at ECMWF is one of the largest of its type in Europe and Member States can use 25% of its capacity for their own purposes.
For details, see www.ecmwf.int/.
ECMWF has long recognised the value of high-quality forecasts in mitigating the effects of natural disasters.
Recognising that floods are among the costliest natural disasters in Europe, the European Commission instigated the development of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS) at its Joint Research Centre (JRC). Development and testing were carried out in close collaboration with national hydrological and meteorological services, European civil protection agencies (through the Emergency Response and Coordination Centre (ERCC)), and other research institutes. Since 2011, EFAS has been part of the Copernicus Emergency Management Service (CEMS) and it became fully operational in 2012.
EFAS helps to protect European citizens, the environment, property and cultural heritage when major floods occur by providing:
Current products include pan-European overview maps of flood probabilities up to 15 days in advance and detailed forecasts at stations where the national services are providing real-time data. More than 50 hydrological services and civil protection services in Europe are part of the EFAS network.
Several European organisations, including ECMWF, are responsible for running the operational EFAS system. As well as providing ensemble meteorological forecasts, ECMWF:
Alongside this, ECMWF co-operates with the JRC in the provision of the pre-operational Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS). GloFAS scales the approaches used in EFAS to the global domain and is expected to go fully operational as part of the Copernicus EMS during 2017.
3. Summary of the role
The focus of the position will be the evaluation of hydrological forecasts produced at ECMWF, especially those from EFAS and GloFAS. Currently, overall skill assessments are undertaken during the development of improvements to the EFAS and GloFAS systems, but the methods employed are not always consistent across the different products and forecasting ranges. Whilst verification of hydrological forecasts against pseudo-observations is conducted every month, in-situ observationalbased verification and model diagnostics occur on a more ad-hoc basis after major flood events have been reported.
New developments are envisaged to move towards a more systematic evaluation of hydrological forecasts, and for methods to be better aligned with techniques currently applied to the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System (IFS). More specifically, the developments should:
The role may also include further work associated with addressing these two objectives
4. Main duties and key responsibilities
5. Personal attributes
6. Qualifications and experience required
Knowledge and skills
7. Other information
The successful candidate will be recruited at the A2 grade, according to the scales of the Co-ordinated Organisations and the annual basic salary will be £56,487 net of tax. This position is assigned to the employment category STF-PL as defined in the Staff Regulations.
Full details of salary scales and allowances are available on the ECMWF website at www.ecmwf.int/en/about/jobs/jobs-ecmwf, including the Centre’s Staff Regulations regarding the terms and conditions of employment.
Starting date: 1 January 2018, or as soon as possible thereafter
8. How to apply
Please apply by completing the online application form available at www.ecmwf.int/en/about/jobs/jobs-ecmwf.
ECMWF has an Equal Opportunities Policy and applications from all suitably qualified candidates are welcome.
Staff are usually recruited from among nationals of the following Member States and Co-operating States:
Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, France, Hungary, Germany, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Montenegro, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Romania, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey and the United Kingdom.
Staff from other countries may be considered in exceptional cases
Interviews for this position will take place in Reading, Berkshire, on 15 September 2017.